dougo: (Default)
([personal profile] dougo Nov. 5th, 2004 05:46 pm)
CNN.com has full exit poll results. (Yes, the exit polls during the day were grossly inaccurate, but they became accurate by the end.) There's plenty to chew on here, but I'm not going to right now, except to point out that the "moral values" thing is really overblown—it seems clear that concerns about terrorism had a much bigger effect on the election. I think there's really just a huge number of single-issue voters like Dennis Miller and Ron Silver: socially and economically liberal, but "killing the bad guys" trumps everything else.

(Thanks to [livejournal.com profile] chrismwage and [livejournal.com profile] wonkette for the links.)

From: [identity profile] temvald.livejournal.com

accuracy of polls


The exit polls were inaccurate to the end. From the NYTimes article:

"The last wave of national exit polls we received, along with many other subscribers, showed Kerry winning the popular vote by 51 percent to 48 percent, if true, surely enough to carry the Electoral College,'' Steve Coll, managing editor of The Washington Post, wrote in an online chat with readers Wednesday.

The Boston Globe article you linked referred to general, pre-election polls, which came close enough to matching the final official tally to be considered accurate.

Mystery Pollster has an interesting analysis of the Times article.
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