Oscar 2023 picks and Best Picture thoughts

This past Thursday afternoon, I completed the Oscars Death Race, having seen all 53 of the movies nominated this year! (That put me in 137th place on the leaderboard.) Today is Oscar Sunday, so it's my last chance to continue my annual tradition of writing up my picks—that is, who I would vote for on my ballot if I were an Academy member. (I also made predictions for who would win but that's less interesting.)

I also have a tradition of writing up my thoughts for each of the Best Picture nominees. Last year I had seen 8 of the 10 nominees when they were announced; this year I had seen 9, and I had already planned to see the 10th that afternoon, so that worked out well for me! But I never got around to making that post, so I'm combining it here with my picks-for-all-categories post. As usual, I'll cover them in the order I saw them. Below that I'll rank them in order from most to least favorite, along with my rating (out of 10) for each.

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Here are my rankings for the other categories:

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